Energy Efficiency in Örnsköldsvik

Our research envisions a comprehensive solution for water park in Örnsköldsvik, Sweden, aimed at reducing energy consumption and improving sustainability.

As part of the GovTech4All initiative, this project addresses the environmental and financial impacts of energy usage in large recreational facilities and serves to broaden our expertise in sustainable and efficient infrastructure management. Recognizing substantial energy needs of the water part for maintaining optimal water and air temperatures year-round, we embarked on this research to develop solutions in the realm of smart energy management. Our approach focuses on optimizing the heating, ventilation, air conditioning (HVAC), and water filtration systems through predictive AI models. We propose real-time and historical data analysis to ensure operational efficiency and cost-effectiveness by continuously optimizing energy-intensive systems.

Technical solution

The system suggests three primary data sources — weather forecasts, visitor trends, and energy prices. By integrating historical and real-time data, our models will dynamically adjust target values for HVAC and water systems. Our research suggests that balancing energy efficiency with visitor comfort is achievable by dynamically adapting operations based on predictive models.

Data processing and prediction models

We envisage the usage of machine learning models, including Long Short-Term Memory  and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average. These models predict optimal settings by analyzing temperature, visitor count, and historical data trends. The LSTM model, capable of capturing long-term dependencies, adapts to evolving patterns in visitor behavior and weather conditions, while ARIMA handles time series forecasting. Together, these models inform device regulation strategies that achieve a balance between energy conservation and visitor satisfaction, continuously improving as they incorporate new data.

Integration with EcoStruxure™ Building Operation (EBO)

The proposed system will interface with water park’s infrastructure using the EBO system, along with BACnet and Modbus protocols for seamless communication with HVAC and lighting controls. This setup will enable the system to send adjustments directly to each device in real-time.

Sustainability-focused Cloud optimization

We propose a cloud-based infrastructure designed to minimize computational resource use, focusing on sustainability through predictive modeling. The system activates only as needed, avoiding excessive computations and ensuring operational resource efficiency. Deployed on low-carbon cloud servers in Europe, the system aligns with environmental standards for sustainable technology. Monthly operational costs are projected to be lower than the obtained energy savings, thus supporting economic and ecological sustainability.

Expected outcomes and energy savings

Our research anticipates HVAC energy usage reduced by 15-20%, water usage cut by up to 15%, and labor efficiency improved by approximately 10%. For water park, this results in an annual energy savings potential of up to 1,163 MWh and a cost reduction of roughly €3000 to €4000 (SEK 35,600 to SEK 47,500, exchange rate as of November 6, 2024) per month.

Potential application

We envisage this system to be easily adapted to industries and institutions beyond water parks. Hotels and resorts could use it to manage HVAC, lighting, and water based on guest flows, reducing energy costs while enhancing comfort. Manufacturing plants could optimize energy use by aligning consumption with production schedules and energy prices. Cities could implement it in public buildings and transit hubs to control lighting and heating as demand shifts, cutting costs and emissions. Even schools and offices could benefit, using dynamic controls to adjust heating and cooling based on occupancy.

Client

Örnsköldsvik Municipality

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